The formula for what comprises a dance song hit isn’t very complex; for now, a computer algorithm has been created that, while in it’s infancy, has been able to predict with above-average accuracy if a tune will climb enough spots to make it to the top 10. The research the data scientists from the University of Antwerp in Belgium have conducted has singled out the genre of dance music, due to genre’s similar song structures.
The data is from the collection dance hits that hit the airwaves from 1985 through 2014, the algorithm was used to predict this years’ Billborad 2015 Hot Dance/Electronic Songs category with a 65 percent or higher probability of a hit for all of the top 10.
Billboard 2015 Hot Dance/Electronic Songs
“Lean On” by Major Lazer & DJ Snake Featuring M0 — 82%
“Where Are U Now” by Skrillex & Diplo With Justin Bieber — 72%
“Hey Mama” by David Guetta Featuring Nicki Minaj, Bebe Rexha & Afrojack — 72%
“You Know You Like It” by DJ Snake & AlunaGeorge — 63%
“Waves” by Mr. Probz — 68%
“Outside” by Calvin Harris Featuring Ellie Goulding — 82%
“Prayer In C” by Lillywood & Robin Schulz — 65%
“Blame” by Calvin Harris Featuring John Newman — 88%
“How Deep Is Your Love” by Calvin Harris & Disciples — 62%
“I Want You To Know” by Zedd Featuring Selena Gomez — 89%